All market participants MUST realize that the MENTALITY of sure bet is highly dangerous given the dynamic nature of the market trend.
The correct attitude to approach the market is to map out the POSSIBLE trend direction from the 3 and only 3 different trend directions. Next is to choose the MOST probable outcome.
There are so many news and stories ... including rumors in the media that can be so confusing.
Sometimes the market direction jive with the "stories" ,,, sometime they don't or as we say "independent".
What we will and definitely going to encounter when we use any system is the NOT so consistent results. This is not to say the system is FAULTY if you believe it is reliable. Instead the DYNAMIC nature of the trend of varying intensity will results in erratic results.
If the TREND move in ONE straight line (LINEAR) than your system will be 100% predictably perfect. Given the trend move in a NON linear state, this will result in DYNAMIC varying results.